Start of the Tribulation - The First Seal by Al Sutton
 

 

Revelation 6:1-2
And I saw when the Lamb opened one of the seals, and I heard, as it were the noise of thunder one of the four beasts saying,  come and see.  And I saw, and behold a white horse and he that sat on him had a bow; and a crown was given unto him: and he went forth conquering, and to conquer.

(See Figure 1)
First Seal:  Central Term at skip 8462 in the Torah (the only one:  CHET TAV MEM RESH ALEF SHIN VAV NUN)
Comet:   lower left corner at skip 33845 (SHIN BET YOD TET)
YEAR 5765  (AD 2005) squares above and to the right of the central term at skip 8466 (TAV SHIN SAMECH HEH)
YEAR 5766 (AD 2006) rounded squares between 5765 and the central term at skip 16914 (TAV SHIN SAMECH VAV)
Word of God:  right center of the matrix at skip 1
9 Av hexagons several locations around the years 5765/6 at different skips (3 Aug 2006, 14 Aug 2005, some other 9 Av?)
Revelation diamonds, one crossing the central term at skip 8469 (MEM RESH ALEF HEH) plus many others.
Archer squares right central and left central matrix at skips 3, 2 respectively plus many other terms (QOF SHIN TAV)
Crown squares diagonally in right central matrix (NUN ZAZIN RESH) plus several not shown
Conqueror trapezoids vertical upper left at skip 25386 and bottom center at skip 8466 (CAPH VAV BET SHIN)
Horseman, rider rounded squares many places, some not shown (PEH RESH SHIN)
Horse hexagons many places, some not shown (RESH MEM CAPH)
White trapezoids at many places, some not shown (almost all can be matched with horse … LAMED BET NUN)
Lamb diamonds above central term at skip 2 and right of central term at skip 3 and far left at skip 1 (TET LAMED HEH), plus many not shown (42)
Thunder squares at far left central skip=1, then just to the right (RESH AYIN MEM), many not shown (95)
First Beast diamonds, vertical left center at skip 33848 plus seven others not shown (ALEF CHET YOD HEH)

I started the search for a possible date for the opening of the First Seal by the Lamb, usually assumed to be the start of the Tribulation, with this matrix.  It’s impossible to guess the date from a single matrix, no matter how complex the mathematics for reasons that have been discussed by many authors.  There is reason to believe that the date is in our near future.  The two years 5765 and 5766 are prominent in this matrix, so I developed a series of matrices to test the possibility of guessing the date based on multiple cases. 

For central search terms I used my original First Seal term, then Beginning of the Tribulation (RESH YOD SHIN ALEF TZADIK RESH HEH), then Beginning of the Tribulation (RESH YOD SHIN ALEF SAMECH BET LAMED), and finally, 9 Av 5766 (TET ALEF BET TAV SHIN SAMECH VAV) based on earlier results for a total of 47 matrices (see Table 1).  I deliberately avoided using most of the three letter words for analysis because they usually show up somewhere in the matrix.  They’re really not very interesting mathematically. 

I ran an “Additional Code” search on each of the matrices to identify the frequency of occurrence of each of the keywords in Table 1 by matrix and for the total across the matrices using a skip of 1-5 with diagonal offsets.  I then estimated the expected number of each of the keywords using an extension of the technique I developed earlier (http://www.exodus2006.com/2006prob.htm) and presented them in Table 2.  The last column is the ratio of the number of discovered terms to the expected number of terms including the diagonal offsets.  I expect the ratio to be a valid test for significance as long as it is greater than one, and each term is.

The ratio for all words was a factor of two or more than expected from the mathematical model across the 11-words tested, for every word, with probabilities based on the number of standard deviations in excess of one-in-a-million for all of the words.  The usual test would be to multiply the independent probabilities to arrive at a probability for the entire matrix estimated in excess of 10100.  I don’t make that claim, because that calculation assumes independence of the different, words.  I think this test shows they aren’t independent.  To check the validity of such large numbers I designed and ran a control experiment using random selections of the Torah.  I used the “Matrix”, “Change Range of Text” function to create the matrix.  I used 3 techniques to assure randomness.  I changed the chapter and verse in Genesis that sets the starting point of the array.  I changed the skip code.  Then, after the matrix displayed, I scrolled both vertically and horizontally to make sure I wasn’t seeing any edge or corner effects.  The results are presented as Table 3.  The control data were then analyzed using the same technique as the data (see Table 4).  The mathematical model assumes full 24 X 69 matrices to estimate the expected number words for the experiment.  As we all know from experience, matrices are not always full.  The result is that the model tends to over-estimate the number of expected occurences and underestimate the significance of the number of words found.  Within that constraint, the mathematical model generally holds up across the 6 words tested as controls, so the results, no matter how unreasonably large, appear valid.

Discussion and Conclusions

1.  Both year dates (2005 and 2006) appear to be significant.  AD 2006 is present across the 47 matrices with about 50% higher discovery ratio.  I’d put my money on 2006 just from the mathematics.  There’s also a potential for a physical explanation for the importance of the year 2005, and it hinges on the word “comet”.

2.  The word comet is significant at approximately the same level of the dates, yet Revelation 6:1-2 doesn’t say anything that sounds like comet to me.  Here is an hypothesis.  A bright comet will be visible during the First Seal event.  With advanced telescopes like LINEAR and SOHO comets are often discovered a year before they become visible to the naked eye.  Hence, 5765 (AD 2005) may be the year of comet discovery, and therefore an important year in its own right.   This might also be the comet that is the proximate cause of the 6th Seal event.

3.  We’re working with small numbers here, maybe smaller numbers than make for good statistics.    We expect some variation with such small numbers, and we see it.  Applying statistical formulas without consideration to a single matrix is probably unwise.  I don’t think it’s a good idea to report more than about one significant digit with such small numbers and some assumed randomness even across 47 matrices.  Even so, differences of 4 or more standard deviations across 11-keywords we might expect to find coded together based on Revelation 6:1-2 (and other considerations) is far beyond chance.

4.  The conclusions are conservative across the test.  If one were to apply a “correction factor” equal to approximately 0.6 to both the data and control you would get tables like Table 5 and Table 6.  The correction factor was selected as the closest 1-digit factor that would bring the control close to zero-sigma.  This is a technique sometimes used in engineering to correct for a model known to have deficiences like under estimating the significance of results where correcting the model would too costly or also prone to error.

5.  Even accepting the limitation of small numbers and a flawed model, the conclusion can be stated very strongly.  The First Seal event is likely scheduled for 9 Av 2006.  The Tribulation is about to begin.


An Appeal

A few friends who have seen the preliminary conclusions of this project have said something like, “OK, OK!  But what can I do about it?  Why scare me if there’s nothing I can do about it!”  At least once delivered in a high squeaky voice.  If I may, I have a few suggestions I would like to share with you.

1.  Get right with GOD!  If you didn’t know that one was coming, shame on you.  Give your life to GOD now.  Say the little prayer.  “Lord, take my life and make it yours.  I surrender.”  All things are possible with God.

2.  Be positive … this is the sign of The Return of the King to borrow a title from J.R.R. Tolkein.  It’s the same story, really.  Pain, suffering, risk, and fear are followed by great joy and a thousand years of peace.  Remember that the hour of our redemption approaches.

3.  CIVIL DEFENSE … no space here for a book on civil defense, but you can do something to help.  Here’s my short list:

Get out of the cities, get off the coast, get out of the cities, get off the coast, get out of the cities, get off the coast, then make sure your family has adequate stocks of water, food, medicine, clothing, temporary shelter, and your scriptures (you’ll need the comfort).  Joseph turned Pharaoh’s dream into a plan of action that saved Egypt and his own family far away.  God has given us this timely warning.  Let’s act on it.

4.  Prepare yourself emotionally.  Read some disaster books and watch some epic movies.  Think of yourself in the survivor role.  If you can only do two (or 4), watch Deep Impact and the Lord of the Rings trilogy, especially The Return of the King.

5.  Forgive me if I don’t make time to do additional work in this most interesting field.  I have young children and grandchildren.  I need to continue my own preparations.

Respectfully,

Al Sutton, servant of the King, 2 August 2004, 15 Av 5764

Figure 1

First Seal Matrix

Skip 8462 in the Torah

Central Term is First Seal (CHET TAV MEM RESH ALEF SHIN VAV NUN)


Table 1

Data on Certain Keywords from Tribulation Matrices

No.

WORD

5765

5766

9 Av

9th of Av

comet

revelation

revelation2

Apocalypse

Crown1

Crown2

Conqueror1

Conqueror2

skip

1

beginning of the tribulation1

1

6

18

0

0

23

0

0

2

16

1

1

5510

2

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

36

0

1

22

0

0

0

13

4

0

7201

3

beginning of the tribulation1

1

1

19

0

1

26

0

0

0

11

4

0

6309

4

9 Av 5766 (3 Aug 06)

2

2

9

1

1

22

0

 

2

7

12

1

7250

5

beginning of the tribulation1

2

1

23

2

2

14

0

0

0

11

2

1

5459

6

beginning of the tribulation1

1

1

20

0

1

16

0

0

0

16

5

1

13164

7

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

15

1

1

25

0

0

1

13

6

0

11633

8

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

19

0

1

23

0

0

1

7

7

2

14634

9

beginning of the tribulation1

1

3

15

0

0

27

0

0

1

5

3

0

9000

10

beginning of the tribulation1

0

3

9

0

1

20

1

0

0

17

2

1

8393

11

beginning of the tribulation1

1

1

9

0

1

23

0

0

0

14

4

2

8410

12

beginning of the tribulation2

0

2

18

1

1

16

0

0

2

8

3

2

6716

13

beginning of the tribulation2

0

2

15

0

0

17

1

0

1

12

5

0

12003

14

beginning of the tribulation1

2

1

12

0

0

17

1

0

1

10

5

2

7055

15

beginning of the tribulation1

0

1

18

1

2

18

0

0

0

7

2

0

7646

16

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

22

1

0

16

0

0

2

14

1

0

5564

17

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

19

2

1

16

0

0

1

8

4

2

5478

18

beginning of the tribulation1

2

0

11

2

0

17

1

0

2

13

3

0

9856

19

beginning of the tribulation1

2

1

5

1

0

25

0

0

1

9

3

1

689

20

beginning of the tribulation1

0

1

17

0

2

9

1

0

1

10

3

0

15505

21

beginning of the tribulation1

2

0

19

1

1

16

0

0

1

4

0

0

15245

22

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

16

2

0

15

0

0

0

13

4

0

9220

23

beginning of the tribulation1

1

0

10

1

0

22

0

0

0

10

4

0

1692

24

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

8

0

1

18

0

0

0

16

3

1

839

25

beginning of the tribulation1

0

1

5

0

1

20

0

0

0

15

2

0

11223

26

First Seal

1

1

17

0

1

11

1

0

0

5

5

0

8462

27

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

12

2

1

17

0

0

0

10

1

1

12408

28

beginning of the tribulation1

1

1

14

0

0

16

0

0

0

6

5

0

5866

29

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

11

0

0

16

0

0

0

10

7

2

13014

30

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

12

1

0

17

0

0

1

8

6

0

1221

31

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

7

0

0

18

1

0

0

11

5

1

2083

32

beginning of the tribulation2

0

1

8

1

0

12

0

0

0

12

1

2

17186

33

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

12

0

1

3

0

0

0

14

3

1

21558

34

beginning of the tribulation1

1

0

14

0

0

10

0

0

0

7

2

0

15778

35

beginning of the tribulation2

0

1

15

0

0

7

0

0

0

2

2

0

38016

36

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

10

1

2

5

0

0

0

4

0

0

46670

37

beginning of the tribulation1

0

1

7

1

0

6

0

0

0

3

3

2

7756

38

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

8

0

0

11

0

0

1

3

1

0

21719

39

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

10

0

0

9

0

0

0

3

2

0

17583

40

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

3

1

1

7

1

0

1

5

0

0

21010

41

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

6

0

0

8

0

0

0

4

1

0

23508

42

beginning of the tribulation1

0

1

8

0

0

3

0

0

0

3

2

0

24086

43

beginning of the tribulation2

1

0

1

2

1

7

0

0

0

2

0

0

40851

44

beginning of the tribulation2

0

0

3

0

1

4

0

0

0

4

2

0

26850

45

beginning of the tribulation2

0

0

10

0

0

6

0

0

0

0

0

0

35322

46

beginning of the tribulation2

0

0

5

0

0

0

0

0

0

3

0

0

46236

47

beginning of the tribulation1

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

2

1

0

45123

   

22

33

580

25

28

676

8

0

22

400

141

26

 

 

Table 2

An Estimate of the Significance of Certain Keywords from Revelation 6:1-2

Word

letters

L1

L2

L3

L4

L5

p(PROD)

e(WORD)

n(Word)

n(Word)

Ratio

No.-s

             

BiD order

1-frame

expected

found

   

9 Av

TET, ALEF, BET

0.0059

0.0888

0.0536

   

5.6E-05

1.83

86

580

6.74

53.3

crown2

NUN, ZAZIN, RESH

0.0463

0.0072

0.0595

   

4.0E-05

1.29

61

400

6.56

43.4

conqueror2

MEM, NUN, TZADIK, CHET

0.0823

0.0463

0.0130

0.0236

 

2.3E-06

0.07

3

26

8.67

13.3

conqueror1

CAPH, YOD, BET, SHIN

0.0393

0.1034

0.0536

0.0512

 

2.2E-05

0.69

33

141

4.27

18.8

crown1

AYIN, TET, RESH, HEH

0.0369

0.0059

0.0595

0.0920

 

2.4E-06

0.07

3

22

7.33

11.0

(5)766

TAV, SHIN, SAMECH, VAV

0.0589

0.0512

0.0060

0.1001

 

3.6E-06

0.11

5

33

6.60

12.5

(5)765

TAV, SHIN, SAMECH, HEH

0.0589

0.0512

0.0060

0.0920

 

3.3E-06

0.10

5

22

4.40

7.6

comet

SHIN, BET, YOD, TET

0.0512

0.0536

0.1034

0.0059

 

3.4E-06

0.10

5

28

5.60

10.3

9th of Av

TET, BET, ALEF, BET

0.0059

0.0536

0.0888

0.0536

 

3.0E-06

0.09

4

25

6.25

10.5

revelation1

MEM, RESH, ALEF, HEH

0.0823

0.0595

0.0888

0.0920

 

8.0E-05

2.49

117

678

5.79

51.9

revelation2

GIMMEL, YOD, LAMED, VAV, YOD

0.0069

0.1034

0.0708

0.1001

0.1034

1.0E-06

0.03

1

8

5.82

5.7

                         
                     

Avg-s

21.7


Table 3

Data from Control Experiment

Random Matrices in the Torah

No.

WORD

5765

5766

9 Av

comet

revelation

Crown2

skip

1

Random

1

0

0

0

6

2

8462

2

Random

0

0

0

0

1

0

1347

3

Random

0

0

4

0

6

0

10347

4

Random

1

0

2

0

2

1

11009

5

Random

0

1

2

0

3

0

15104

6

Random

1

0

0

0

1

0

21200

7

Random

0

0

3

0

1

0

19111

8

Random

0

0

2

0

1

1

129

9

Random

0

0

0

0

1

2

817

10

Random

0

0

3

0

1

0

3222

11

Random

0

0

2

0

3

1

5555

12

Random

0

0

0

0

0

0

32888

13

Random

0

0

0

0

0

0

42323

14

Random

0

0

3

0

4

0

666

15

Random

0

0

1

0

1

0

4477

16

Random

0

0

2

0

1

0

2878

17

Random

0

0

2

0

1

0

6987

18

Random

0

0

1

0

3

4

7096

19

Random

0

0

2

0

0

0

9753

20

Random

0

1

1

0

0

2

12121

21

Random

0

0

2

0

0

3

13471

22

Random

0

0

0

0

0

1

14336

23

Random

1

0

1

0

1

1

16448

24

Random

0

0

2

0

1

1

17392

25

Random

0

0

1

0

1

0

18432

26

Random

0

0

0

0

0

1

19011

27

Random

0

0

2

0

1

0

20686

28

Random

0

0

1

0

2

1

23822

29

Random

0

0

0

0

1

2

25701

30

Random

0

0

0

0

0

2

29000

31

Random

0

0

0

0

0

0

34906

32

Random

0

0

1

0

1

0

38005

33

Random

0

1

1

0

1

1

232

34

Random

0

0

1

0

1

0

6127

35

Random

0

0

2

0

3

0

2421

36

Random

0

0

0

0

3

1

1664

37

Random

0

0

3

0

3

1

4975

38

Random

0

0

5

0

4

2

3516

39

Random

0

0

1

0

4

2

9026

40

Random

0

0

0

0

1

0

18883

41

Random

0

0

1

0

2

4

9314

42

Random

0

0

0

0

0

0

13655

43

Random

0

0

2

0

4

2

1415

44

Random

0

0

0

0

1

1

12240

45

Random

0

0

0

0

3

0

7103

46

Random

0

0

1

0

4

0

28462

47

Random

0

0

0

0

1

0

7271

   

4

3

57

0

78

39

 

 

Table 4

A Check on the Mathematical Model

Using Random Torah Matrices

Word

letters

L1

L2

L3

L4

L5

p(PROD)

e(WORD)

n(Word)

n(Word)

Ratio

No.-s

             

BiD order

1-frame

expected

found

   

9 Av

TET, ALEF, BET

0.0059

0.0888

0.0536

   

5.6E-05

1.83

86

57

0.66

-3

crown2

NUN, ZAZIN, RESH

0.0463

0.0072

0.0595

   

4.0E-05

1.29

61

39

0.64

-3

conqueror2

MEM, NUN, TZADIK, CHET

0.0823

0.0463

0.0130

0.0236

 

2.3E-06

0.07

3

n/a

n/a

n/a

conqueror1

CAPH, YOD, BET, SHIN

0.0393

0.1034

0.0536

0.0512

 

2.2E-05

0.69

33

n/a

n/a

n/a

crown1

AYIN, TET, RESH, HEH

0.0369

0.0059

0.0595

0.0920

 

2.4E-06

0.07

3

n/a

n/a

n/a

(5)766

TAV, SHIN, SAMECH, VAV

0.0589

0.0512

0.0060

0.1001

 

3.6E-06

0.11

5

3

0.57

-1

(5)765

TAV, SHIN, SAMECH, HEH

0.0589

0.0512

0.0060

0.0920

 

3.3E-06

0.10

5

4

0.82

0

comet

SHIN, BET, YOD, TET

0.0512

0.0536

0.1034

0.0059

 

3.4E-06

0.10

5

0

0.00

-2

9th of Av

TET, BET, ALEF, BET

0.0059

0.0536

0.0888

0.0536

 

3.0E-06

0.09

4

n/a

n/a

n/a

revelation1

MEM, RESH, ALEF, HEH

0.0823

0.0595

0.0888

0.0920

 

8.0E-05

2.49

117

78

0.67

-4

revelation2

GIMMEL, YOD, LAMED, VAV, YOD

0.0069

0.1034

0.0708

0.1001

0.1034

1.0E-06

0.03

1

n/a

n/a

n/a

                         
                     

Avg-s

-2.2


Table 5

Control Data “Corrected” for Model Underestimation

Correction Factor = 0.6 Applied to n(WORD) expected

Word

letters

L1

L2

L3

L4

L5

p(PROD)

e(WORD)

n(Word)

n(Word)

Ratio

No.-s

             

BiD order

1-frame

expected

found

   

9 Av

TET, ALEF, BET

0.0059

0.0888

0.0536

   

5.6E-05

1.10

52

57

1.11

1

crown2

NUN, ZAZIN, RESH

0.0463

0.0072

0.0595

   

4.0E-05

0.77

36

39

1.07

0

conqueror2

MEM, NUN, TZADIK, CHET

0.0823

0.0463

0.0130

0.0236

 

2.3E-06

0.04

2

n/a

n/a

n/a

conqueror1

CAPH, YOD, BET, SHIN

0.0393

0.1034

0.0536

0.0512

 

2.2E-05

0.42

20

n/a

n/a

n/a

crown1

AYIN, TET, RESH, HEH

0.0369

0.0059

0.0595

0.0920

 

2.4E-06

0.04

2

n/a

n/a

n/a

(5)766

TAV, SHIN, SAMECH, VAV

0.0589

0.0512

0.0060

0.1001

 

3.6E-06

0.07

3

3

0.94

0

(5)765

TAV, SHIN, SAMECH, HEH

0.0589

0.0512

0.0060

0.0920

 

3.3E-06

0.06

3

4

1.37

1

comet

SHIN, BET, YOD, TET

0.0512

0.0536

0.1034

0.0059

 

3.4E-06

0.06

3

0

0.00

-2

9th of Av

TET, BET, ALEF, BET

0.0059

0.0536

0.0888

0.0536

 

3.0E-06

0.06

3

n/a

n/a

n/a

revelation1

MEM, RESH, ALEF, HEH

0.0823

0.0595

0.0888

0.0920

 

8.0E-05

1.49

70

78

1.11

1

revelation2

GIMMEL, YOD, LAMED, VAV, YOD

0.0069

0.1034

0.0708

0.1001

0.1034

1.0E-06

0.02

1

n/a

n/a

n/a

                         
                     

Avg-s

0.2


Table 6

Experiment Data “Corrected” for Model Underestimation

Correction Factor = 0.6 Applied to n(WORD) expected

Word

letters

L1

L2

L3

L4

L5

p(PROD)

e(WORD)

n(Word)

n(Word)

Ratio

No.-s

             

BiD order

1-frame

expected

found

   

9 Av

TET, ALEF, BET

0.0059

0.0888

0.0536

   

5.6E-05

1.10

52

580

11.15

73.2

crown2

NUN, ZAZIN, RESH

0.0463

0.0072

0.0595

   

4.0E-05

0.77

36

400

11.11

60.7

conqueror2

MEM, NUN, TZADIK, CHET

0.0823

0.0463

0.0130

0.0236

 

2.3E-06

0.04

2

26

13.00

17.0

conqueror1

CAPH, YOD, BET, SHIN

0.0393

0.1034

0.0536

0.0512

 

2.2E-05

0.42

20

141

7.05

27.1

crown1

AYIN, TET, RESH, HEH

0.0369

0.0059

0.0595

0.0920

 

2.4E-06

0.04

2

22

11.00

14.1

(5)766

TAV, SHIN, SAMECH, VAV

0.0589

0.0512

0.0060

0.1001

 

3.6E-06

0.07

3

33

11.00

17.3

(5)765

TAV, SHIN, SAMECH, HEH

0.0589

0.0512

0.0060

0.0920

 

3.3E-06

0.06

3

22

7.33

11.0

comet

SHIN, BET, YOD, TET

0.0512

0.0536

0.1034

0.0059

 

3.4E-06

0.06

3

28

9.33

14.4

9th of Av

TET, BET, ALEF, BET

0.0059

0.0536

0.0888

0.0536

 

3.0E-06

0.06

3

25

8.33

12.7

revelation1

MEM, RESH, ALEF, HEH

0.0823

0.0595

0.0888

0.0920

 

8.0E-05

1.49

70

678

9.69

72.7

revelation2

GIMMEL, YOD, LAMED, VAV, YOD

0.0069

0.1034

0.0708

0.1001

0.1034

1.0E-06

0.02

1

8

9.70

7.9

                         
                     

Avg-s

29.8

 

 

 

 

 

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